tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1244187317818411252.post8164631333908813462..comments2023-10-04T08:48:32.958-07:00Comments on Why We Make Mistakes Blog: The Dirty TruthJoe Hallinanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13193377805917363408noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1244187317818411252.post-39797722509089860012014-05-12T10:54:02.414-07:002014-05-12T10:54:02.414-07:00At last: the truth comes out in the wash!At last: the truth comes out in the wash!Drew Byrnehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07554136337476731901noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1244187317818411252.post-1217024887536487222010-03-23T11:26:12.773-07:002010-03-23T11:26:12.773-07:00Hi Mr Hallinan,
I don't know if you read the ...Hi Mr Hallinan,<br /><br />I don't know if you read the comments on your blog but I recently read your book, "Why we Make Mistakes" it was certainly fascinating and quite enjoyable but I would like to discuss a certain point within it.<br /><br />On page 52 you argue why you should change your answer rather than sticking with your first decision.<br /><br />I thought about this along these lines, if most people believe that changing their answer would result in the answer being incorrect there is quite a bias towards not changing ones answer when they feel it may be a little wrong but sticking with the first impression. <br /><br />Unless of course they're pretty sure their first answer is incorrect.<br /><br />This results in a distortion as people mainly change their answer because they're pretty sure they're wrong/ they believe there's a strong argument against there first answer. Therefore only poor answers are changed, the ones that the testee comes back to that they think are 60% wrong /40% right are ones still lie on the side of the first impression and are unlikely to be changed.<br /><br />From the above argument it appears that most answer changes are from wrong to right because the testee believes quite strongly that the change will result in a correct answer.<br /><br />If the bias was in the other way ie: everyone believed changing your answer was a better idea, I theorize that it would probably result in the opposite being true.<br /><br />Therefore either strategy of go with first impression or change answers are not good strategies in the 60/40 cases.<br /><br />I happen to be a physicist so my language arguments aren't very strong but I believe the logic is sound. I can expand further if what I say sounds confusing. <br /><br />I would like to hear your opinion on this theory.<br /><br />Regards<br />Darryl Fleming<br /><br />Safarijack@gmail.com <br /><br />PS: I love the cover of your book! It had the bookstore staff really confused and running around to see if there was a "proper" cover.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01943921934133347851noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1244187317818411252.post-34508236063752014392010-02-24T12:21:03.541-08:002010-02-24T12:21:03.541-08:00Preventive maintenance is important for any applia...Preventive maintenance is important for any appliance. Detergents and softeners leave residue inside washers that feeds bacteria and mildew. http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/10/22/earlyshow/contributors/susankoeppen/main5409778.shtml<br /><br />Remove odor safely and easily from your washer, towels and clothing with Smelly Washer Cleaner. It's 24 All Natural treatments that easily removes mildew odor from towels and clothing after it cleans your washer! Smelly Washer is available at www.smellywasher.com and Ace, True Value, Do-It-Best and Hardware Hank stores nationwide.<br />Compare Smelly Washer: http://vodpod.com/watch/1507525-affresh-washer-cleaner-vs-smelly-washerAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com